Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 2

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball


	Botafogo RJ		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.53	4.1	6.25
	1.38	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.41	4.51	8.55	Watch
	1.5	4	6.5
	1.46	4.45	7.1	Watch
	1.38	4.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)	4.37 ↑ (4.29)	7.7 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
66%

Draw
21.7%

Juventude
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.1%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

21.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Botafogo RJ - Juventude Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Juventude (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Botafogo RJ will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. John Victor (G) 2. Vitinho 32. Jair Cunha 20. Barboza A. 66. Cuiabano 26. Gregore 17. Marlon Freitas (C) 6. Patrick de Paula 7. Artur 99. Igor Jesus 10. Savarino J.	12. Marcao (G) 2. Ewerthon 23. Abner 3. Adriano Martins 28. Alan Ruschel (C) 8. Giraldo D. 16. Jadson 44. Mandaca 27. Batalla E. 19. Gabriel Taliari 37. Petterson
Substitutes
13. Alex Telles 25. Allan 57. David Ricardo 33. Elias Manoel 39. Gonzalo Mastriani 47. Jeffinho 77. Kauan Lindes 24. Leo Linck (G) 11. Matheus Martins 28. Newton 4. Ponte M. 23. Rodriguez S.	4. Angel W. 88. Davi Goes 18. Emerson Galego 6. Felipinho 11. Giovanny 20. Jean Carlos 47. Marcos Paulo 17. Matheus Babi 7. Mauricio Garcez 10. Nene 93. Reginaldo 21. Ruan Carneiro (G)
Coaches
Alves R.	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Barboza A. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Igor Jesus ⚽, Artur (A),
29', Batalla E. 🟨,
35', Giraldo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Gregore 🟨,
55', Patrick de Paula ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
55', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
57', Adriano Martins 🟨,
58', Petterson ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Ponte M. ⚽, Cuiabano (A),
72', Batalla E. ↓, Giovanny ↑,
72', Giraldo D. ↓, Nene ↑,
72', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
82', Gregore ↓, Newton ↑,
82', Cuiabano ↓, Alex Telles ↑,
87', Igor Jesus ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
90+1', Mandaca ↓, Emerson Galego ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 1.

Botafogo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Juventude is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Botafogo: Danilo Barbosa (Injury) Nathan Fernandes (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Juventude: Rodrigo Sam (Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Copa Libertadores
02.04.25	Universidad de Chile - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.03.25	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Botafogo RJ - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:1 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
27.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Racing	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLL
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
29.03.25	Juventude - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
01.03.25	Juventude - Grêmio	2:2 penalties ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.25	Maringá - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.02.25	Grêmio - Juventude	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	EC Pelotas - Juventude	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
11.08.24	Juventude - Botafogo RJ	3:2
21.04.24	Botafogo RJ - Juventude	5:1
21.08.22	Juventude - Botafogo RJ	2:2
01.05.22	Botafogo RJ - Juventude	1:1
Copa do Brasil
11.04.19	Juventude - Botafogo RJ	2:1
04.04.19	Botafogo RJ - Juventude	1:1

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