Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 11

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Ferreira Y. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Russia	Viju+ Sport
Usa	Fanatiz


	Flamengo		Maricá

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.55	15.18
	1.16	6.65	17.75
	1.1	7.5	19.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↑ (1.1)	7.23 ↑ (5.4)	17.48 ↑ (15.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
81.9%

Draw
12.8%

Maricá
5.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.5%

16%

5.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Flamengo - Maricá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 13. Danilo 4. Leo Pereira 8. Gerson (C) 5. Pulgar E. 10. de Arrascaeta G. 50. Plata G. 27. Bruno Henrique 11. Everton	1. Gerson Dida (G) 2. Almir Silva 3. Carvalho F. 4. Sandro 6. Joao Victor 7. Joao Vitor 5. Clayton 8. Vinicius F. 10. Walber 11. Gutemberg 9. Hugo Borges
Substitutes
29. Allan 51. Daniel Sales 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 52. Evertton Araujo 57. Iago Teodoro 60. Joao Alves 61. Joao Victor 7. Luiz Araujo 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 64. Wallace Yan 43. Wesley Franca	18. Bruninho 22. Cayke 17. Clisman 15. Heltton 20. Jonathan Chula 14. Magno 16. Mina J. 13. Rafael Carioca 19. Rhenan 23. Sergio Mendonca 21. Tavares J. 12. Yuri Duarte (G)
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Reinaldo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Gerson ⚽,
25', Everton ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
26', 2 - 0, Leo Ortiz ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Clayton ↓, Sergio Mendonca ↑,
55', Bruno Henrique ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
55', Pulgar E. ↓, Allan ↑,
56', Walber ↓, Bruninho ↑,
57', 3 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Plata G. (A),
59', 4 - 0, Luiz Araujo ⚽,
68', Almir Silva ↓, Magno ↑,
68', Hugo Borges ↓, Rafael Carioca ↑,
77', Plata G. ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
77', Leo Ortiz ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
83', 5 - 0, Matheus Goncalves ⚽,
84', Vinicius F. ↓, Rhenan ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northern Illinois won 3.

Northern Illinois has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Eastern Michigan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Eastern Michigan have a series of home games.

Eastern Michigan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Northern Illinois won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1393:1418 (average 69.7:70.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Northern Illinois won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 676:616 (average 75.1:68.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.02.25	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Flamengo - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
05.02.25	Portuguesa RJ - Flamengo	0:5 ✺
Supercopa do Brasil
02.02.25	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWW
- Maricá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.02.25	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Maricá - Bangu	1:1 ✺
06.02.25	Volta Redonda - Maricá	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Madureira - Maricá	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Maricá - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

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