Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 8

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Rocha A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Usa	Fanatiz


	Volta Redonda		Maricá

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.6
	1.72	3.3	4.6	Watch
	1.68	3.57	5.11
	1.66	3.57	4.9	Watch
	1.64	3.65	5.09	Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)	3.48 ↓ (3.7)	4.82 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volta Redonda
54.4%

Draw
26.5%

Maricá
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

24.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Volta Redonda - Maricá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jean Drosny (G) 2. Wellington Silva (C) 28. Gabriel Bahia 4. Fabricio 22. Juninho Monteiro 20. Pierre 8. Robinho 7. Luciano Naninho 14. Chay 9. Bruno Santos 11. MV	1. Gerson Dida (G) 2. Magno 3. Mizael Monteiro 4. Carvalho F. 6. Joao Victor 5. Bezerro 7. Bruninho 8. Vinicius F. 10. Walber 9. Tavares J. 11. Valdenilson
Substitutes
1. Avelino (G) 5. Bruno Barra 26. Caceres L. 29. Heliardo 21. Henrique Silva 17. Kelvin 13. Lucas Souza 18. Marquinhos 27. Mirandinha 10. PK 6. Sanchez 16. Wallace	21. Almir Silva 13. Clayton 17. Gutemberg 16. Heltton 18. Hugo Borges 12. Leandro (G) 15. Magno 14. Marcelinho 19. Mercado K. 23. Roskopf M. 20. Sergio Mendonca 22. Yuri Duarte (G)
Coaches
Rogerio Correa	Reinaldo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Tavares J. ⚽, Vinicius F. (A),
17', Magno 🟨,
23', Joao Victor 🟨,
38', Gerson Dida 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Carvalho F. ↓, Heltton ↑,
46', Wellington Silva ↓, Heliardo ↑,
46', Luciano Naninho ↓, PK ↑,
46', Chay ↓, Mirandinha ↑,
46', Vinicius F. 🟨,
58', Juninho Monteiro 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, MV ⚽, Pierre (A),
64', Tavares J. ↓, Magno ↑,
64', Walber ↓, Hugo Borges ↑,
68', Gabriel Bahia 🟨,
68', Hugo Borges 🟨,
71', Bruno Santos ↓, Kelvin ↑,
75', Heltton 🟨,
77', Mizael Monteiro 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Fabricio (Pen),
79', Robinho ↓, Bruno Barra ↑,
81', Valdenilson 🟨,
82', Mizael Monteiro ↓, Mercado K. ↑,
82', Vinicius F. ↓, Roskopf M. ↑,
85', Fabricio 🟨,
90+2', MV 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Volta Redonda is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Maricá is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Volta Redonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Volta Redonda is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Volta Redonda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Volta Redonda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
01.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Volta Redonda	2:2 ✺
29.01.25	Volta Redonda - Portuguesa RJ	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Volta Redonda - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Volta Redonda	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Bangu - Volta Redonda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWLWW
- Maricá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
03.02.25	Madureira - Maricá	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Maricá - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Maricá - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:2 ✺
22.01.25	Maricá - Nova Iguaçu	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Fluminense - Maricá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio
26.10.24	Volta Redonda - Maricá	1:2 penalties
16.10.24	Maricá - Volta Redonda	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
12.05.22	Volta Redonda - Maricá	2:0

Volta Redonda - Maricá: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide