The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 35.6%
Draw 26.1%
Burton Albion 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
26.6%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
26.2%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fleetwood Town's form might have worsened.
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burton Albion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burton Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
45.5%
45.5%
Fleetwood Town - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Burton will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Harrington D. (G) 26. Rooney S. 16. Heneghan B. 4. Wiredu B. (C) 2. Johnston C. 8. Kilkenny G. 5. Lawal B. 17. Simons X. 44. Patterson P. 20. Omochere P. 19. Graydon R.
1. Crocombe M. (G) 12. Moon J. 5. Hughes S. 6. Sweeney R. 3. Seddon S. 18. Kamwa B. 4. Oshilaja A. 17. Helm M. 8. Harper R. 21. Carayol M. 11. Bennett M.
Substitutes
33. Coughlan R. 22. Dolan C. 14. Lonergan T. 10. Mayor D. 30. McMullan S. (G) 32. Potter F. 15. Quitirna J.
30. Blackman J. (G) 2. Brayford J. 25. Gilligan C. 44. Hugill J. 46. Nsiala A. 20. Ola-Adebomi A. 38. Scott D.
Coaches
Adam C.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Heneghan B. ↓, Potter F. ↑,
17', 1 - 0, Johnston C. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
23', Bennett M. 🟨,
25', Helm M. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Patterson P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Carayol M. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
64', Kilkenny G. ↓, Mayor D. ↑,
64', Graydon R. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
64', Omochere P. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
65', Kamwa B. ↓, Scott D. ↑,
75', Harper R. ↓, Nsiala A. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Lonergan T. ⚽, Coughlan R. (A),
82', Lawal B. ↓, Dolan C. ↑,
85', Sweeney R. 🟨,
89', Scott D. 🟨,
90+6', Oshilaja A. ↓, Brayford J. ↑,
90+9', Simons X. ↓, Quitirna J. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 20).
Fleetwood is Relegated to League Two
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Recently Fleetwood have a series of guest games.
Recently Burton have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 30-31.
Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-16.
Watch
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Harrington D. (G) 
Rooney S. 
Heneghan B. 
Johnston C. 
Crocombe M. (G) 
Kamwa B. 
Carayol M. 
Quitirna J. 
Nsiala A. 
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