The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 24.5%
Draw 26.5%
Oxford United 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
27.1%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
26.3%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
18.2%
72.7%
Burton Albion - Oxford United Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Oxford will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Crocombe M. (G) 37. Hamer T. 5. Hughes S. 2. Brayford J. (C) 6. Sweeney R. 23. Bola T. 25. Gilligan C. 7. Powell J. 17. Helm M. 44. Hugill J. 20. Ola-Adebomi A.
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. (C) 3. Brown C. 22. Leigh G. 8. Brannagan C. 30. Dale O. 20. Rodrigues R. 19. Goodrham T. 23. Murphy J. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
30. Blackman J. (G) 21. Carayol M. 8. Harper R. 18. Kamwa B. 12. Moon J. 4. Oshilaja A. 38. Scott D.
10. Bodin B. 11. Browne M. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 17. Henry J. 6. McEachran J. 15. Stevens F. 4. Thorniley J.
Coaches
Paterson M.
Buckingham D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Harris M. ⚽,
34', Brannagan C. ↓, McEachran J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', Powell J. 🟨,
53', Ola-Adebomi A. ↓, Scott D. ↑,
53', Gilligan C. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
53', Bola T. ↓, Carayol M. ↑,
57', 0 - 2, Harris M. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
62', 0 - 3, Murphy J. ⚽, Harris M. (A),
66', Goodrham T. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
66', Rodrigues R. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
67', Harris M. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
69', 0 - 4, Henry J. ⚽, Bodin B. (A),
74', Helm M. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
80', Murphy J. ↓, Stevens F. ↑,
83', Brayford J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 1.
Burton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Oxford is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Burton won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24-34.
Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.
Watch
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Crocombe M. (G) 
Hamer T. 
Sweeney R. 
Brown C. 
Leigh G. 
Rodrigues R. 
Harris M. 
Carayol M. 
Kamwa B. 
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