The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 41%
Draw 28.6%
Reading 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
27.8%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
28.7%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burton Albion's performance.
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
66.7%
33.3%
Burton Albion - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 18. Moon J. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 12. Evans G. 6. Sibbick T. 7. McKiernan J. J. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.
1. Pereira J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 15. O'Connor P. 33. Williams D. 16. Ward B. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 29. Doyle K. 27. Keane W. 21. Williams R. 57. Patton S.
Substitutes
29. Adom K. 3. Armer J. 42. Cannon A. 27. Dudek K. (G) 11. Tavares F. 5. Vancooten T. 19. Williams D.
12. Burns F. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 6. Fraser L. 32. Lane P. 41. Rhone H. (G) 30. Ritchie M. 19. Young K.
Coaches
Bowyer G.
Richardson L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Evans G. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
27', Ward B. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
33', 1 - 1, Doyle K. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
66', Patton S. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
67', Keane W. ↓, Young K. ↑,
74', Chauke K. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
77', Wing L. 🟨,
84', Doyle K. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
84', Savage C. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽,
90+6', Beesley J. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Burton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Burton: Armer J.
(Inactive)
Delap F.
(Inactive)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Injury)
Webster C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
Kyerewaa D.
(Inactive)
O'Mahony M.
(Inactive)
Roberts H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Rinomhota A.
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.3:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 2.3:2.8).
Outrights of English League One for now
Reading: 6.34% Burton: 0.63%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Reading
9
4
3
2
22:11
11
15
10
Burton
10
3
3
4
14:16
-2
12
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Reading - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.