Match Info

League Two - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Fleetwood Town		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.45
	2.62	3.45	2.48
	2.58	3.57	2.49	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.5
	2.62	3.36	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.66)	3.41 ↑ (3.33)	2.51 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
35.7%

Draw
27.2%

Grimsby Town
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.5%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

25.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Grimsby will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (C) 44. Mullarkey T. 5. Potter F. 32. Hughes K. 20. Neal H. 16. Ennis E. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 10. Helm M. 14. McCann L. 7. Graydon R. 17. Evans C.	31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 24. Tharme D. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D. 14. Amaluzor J. 4. Green K. (C) 8. Khouri E. 30. Vernam C. 10. Soonsup-Bell J.
Substitutes
6. Bonds E. 15. Davies J. 9. Davies W. 1. Harrington D. (G) 35. Haughey C. 3. Medley Z. 23. Morrison G.	18. Burns D. 33. Casper C. (G) 9. Kabia J. 20. McEachran G. 16. Staunton R. 7. Walker J. 21. Warren T.
Coaches
Wild P.	Artell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Potter F. ↓, Haughey C. ↑,
20', Evans C. 🟨,
38', Hughes K. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
45+4', Neal H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Rodgers H. 🟨,
62', McCann L. 🟨,
62', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
63', Turi G. D. ↓, McEachran G. ↑,
63', Vernam C. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
66', McCann L. ↓, Bonds E. ↑,
69', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
78', Burns D. 🟨,
78', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
79', Graydon R. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
87', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Kabia J. ⚽, Burns D. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 15).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Fleetwood: Holgate H. (Hamstring Injury) Hume D. (Inactive) Johnson W. (Inactive) Rooney S. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness)

There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) Norwood J. (Inactive) Roberts L. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Grimsby: 7.56%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Grimsby	9	3	4	2	13:10	3	13
18	Fleetwood	9	2	4	3	9:10	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
29.12.25	Salford City - Fleetwood Town	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Tranmere Rovers - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Fleetwood Town - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Newport County - Fleetwood Town	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Fleetwood Town - Salford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWWT
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
29.12.25	Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.25	Grimsby Town - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bromley - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Grimsby Town - Notts County	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
22.02.25	Grimsby Town - Fleetwood Town	2:1
10.08.24	Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town	1:0
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town	1:0
English National League
06.03.12	Fleetwood Town - Grimsby Town	N/A

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