Match Info

League Two - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Grimsby Town		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.05
	2.02	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.02	3.73	3.27	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.3
	2.04	3.52	3.35	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	3.28 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
45.5%

Draw
26.1%

Oldham Athletic
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

23.1%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Grimsby Town - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Oldham will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldham: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Oldham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Smith J. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 24. Tharme D. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 20. McEachran G. 18. Burns D. 4. Green K. (C) 15. Turi G. D. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J.	1. Hudson M. (G) 2. Ogle R. 40. Simeu D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 8. Woods R. 4. Pett T. (C) 26. Payne K. 27. Hammond O. 28. Mellon M. 14. Garner J.
Substitutes
14. Amaluzor J. 33. Casper C. (G) 8. Khouri E. 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 16. Staunton R. 7. Walker J. 21. Warren T.	20. Caprice J. 5. Daniels D. 31. Donaghy T. (G) 15. Drummond K. 19. Hannant L. 23. Harratt K. 17. Quigley J.
Coaches
Artell D.	Mellon M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Garner J. 🟨,
55', Garner J. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
56', Hammond O. ↓, Hannant L. ↑,
56', Mellon M. ↓, Harratt K. ↑,
71', Turi G. D. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
71', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
77', Ogle R. 🟨,
79', Ogle R. ↓, Caprice J. ↑,
83', Pett T. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
83', Kabia J. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
90+3', Sweeney J. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
90+4', McJannet C. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Svanthorsson J. (Illness)

There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T. (Knee Injury) Fondop-Talum M. (Red Card) Hawkes J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Sweeney J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Oldham: Hannant L. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Grimsby Town - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
20.12.25	Bromley - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Grimsby Town - Notts County	0:2 ✺
09.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Grimsby Town - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
English League Two
27.11.25	Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWL
- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
20.12.25	Oldham Athletic - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Crawley Town - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
10.12.25	Oldham Athletic - Walsall	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic	3:1 ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.04.21	Oldham Athletic - Grimsby Town	1:2
29.12.20	Grimsby Town - Oldham Athletic	0:0
14.09.19	Oldham Athletic - Grimsby Town	2:2
30.03.19	Oldham Athletic - Grimsby Town	2:0
15.09.18	Grimsby Town - Oldham Athletic	0:3

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