Match Info

League Two - Round 20

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)

Referee: Cartmel W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Grimsby Town		Notts County

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.02	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2.08	3.72	3.4
	2.05	3.78	3.16	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.25
	2.02	3.64	3.34	Watch
	2.08	3.66	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)	3.66 (3.66)	3.26 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
45.8%

Draw
25.5%

Notts County
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

25.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

25.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Grimsby Town - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Notts County (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 24. Tharme D. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 20. McEachran G. 18. Burns D. 4. Green K. (C) 8. Khouri E. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J.	1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 8. Norburn O. 14. Iorpenda T. 47. Bennetts K. 11. Grant C. 19. Dennis M. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
14. Amaluzor J. 33. Casper C. (G) 29. Oduor C. 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 15. Turi G. D. 7. Walker J. 21. Warren T.	2. Gordon K. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 6. Hinchy J. 10. Jones J. 17. Kouhyar Q. 3. McDonald R. 12. Ness L.
Coaches
Artell D.	Paterson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Platt M. 🟨,
41', McJannet C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Macari L. (A),
69', Bennetts K. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
69', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
70', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
70', Khouri E. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
76', Staunton R. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
76', Vernam C. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
79', Roos K. 🟨,
80', Grant C. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
86', Dennis M. ↓, Hinchy J. ↑,
87', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽,
90+4', Jatta A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1.

Recent performances by Grimsby have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Notts County is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Lavelle S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive) Palmer M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J. (Illness) Sweeney J. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Grimsby won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Two
09.12.25	Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Grimsby Town - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
English League Two
27.11.25	Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Swindon Town - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Grimsby Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWLTL
- Notts County
English League Two
09.12.25	Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Bristol Rovers - Notts County	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Notts County - Colchester United	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Notts County - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
10.11.25	Cheltenham Town - Notts County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
11.03.25	Grimsby Town - Notts County	0:2
22.08.24	Notts County - Grimsby Town	4:1
13.01.24	Grimsby Town - Notts County	5:5
12.08.23	Notts County - Grimsby Town	3:2
English National League
23.05.22	Notts County - Grimsby Town	1:2 ET
05.02.22	Notts County - Grimsby Town	1:2
30.10.21	Grimsby Town - Notts County	0:1

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