Match Info

League Two - Round 19

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.18	Watch
	3.16	3.57	2.23
	3.18	3.47	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.15
	3.18	3.32	2.19	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.65)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	2.17 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
29.6%

Draw
27.4%

Grimsby Town
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

28.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Grimsby will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shrewsbury (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brook W. (G) 2. Hoole L. 26. Stubbs S. 4. Anderson T. 20. Kabia I. 14. Perry T. 7. McDermott T. 6. Clucas S. 27. Marquis J. (C) 11. Scully A. 9. Lloyd G.	1. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 24. Tharme D. 17. McJannet C. 16. Staunton R. 20. McEachran G. 18. Burns D. 4. Green K. (C) 7. Walker J. 30. Vernam C. 9. Kabia J.
Substitutes
15. Aneke Ch. 3. Benning M. 8. Biggins H. 38. England I. 43. Gray W. 1. Harrison E. (G)	14. Amaluzor J. 33. Casper C. (G) 19. Gilsenan Z. 8. Khouri E. 32. Rose D. 15. Turi G. D. 21. Warren T.
Coaches
Appleton M.	Artell D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Vernam C. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 1 - 1, Marquis J. ⚽, Clucas S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kabia I. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
64', Green K. ↓, Khouri E. ↑,
72', Burns D. 🟨,
73', Scully A. ↓, England I. ↑,
78', Stubbs S. 🟨,
82', Aneke Ch. 🟨,
86', Burns D. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
86', Vernam C. ↓, Gilsenan Z. ↑,
90+5', Rodgers H. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Grimsby is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Boyle W. (Yellow Cards) Ihionvien B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Grimsby: Brown H. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness) Sweeney J. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.98%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Sutton United - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ET ✺
English League Two
29.11.25	Shrewsbury Town - Gillingham	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Fleetwood Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:1 ✺
15.11.25	Shrewsbury Town - Newport County	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWL
- Grimsby Town
English FA Cup
06.12.25	Grimsby Town - Wealdstone	4:0 ✺
English League Two
27.11.25	Grimsby Town - Tranmere Rovers	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Swindon Town - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Grimsby Town - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Barrow - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
12.08.25	Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:1
English FA Cup
15.12.15	Shrewsbury Town - Grimsby Town	1:0
07.12.15	Grimsby Town - Shrewsbury Town	0:0

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