Match Info

League Two - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Fleetwood Town		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.15	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.86
	2.23	2.80	3.69	Watch
	1.79	3.64	4.19	Watch
	1.79	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	3.52 ↓ (3.62)	4.05 ↓ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
50.1%

Draw
26.7%

Harrogate Town
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.7%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

26.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 18. Holgate H. 4. Bolton J. 32. Hughes K. 14. McCann L. 20. Neal H. 6. Bonds E. (C) 33. Hume D. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 9. Davies W. 11. Norwood J.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 6. Burrell W. 15. O'Connor A. 20. Faulkner B. 4. Evans J. 8. Morris B. 27. Fox B. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 14. McAleny C. 22. Smith R. 18. Muldoon J.
Substitutes
42. Bellizia O. (G) 15. Davies J. 16. Ennis E. 17. Evans C. 7. Graydon R. 10. Helm M. 3. Medley Z.	2. Asare Z. 5. Bradbury T. 25. Cursons T. 30. Gibson L. 1. Oxley M. (G) 17. Sutton L. 21. Taylor E.
Coaches
Wild P.	Weaver S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Burrell W. ⚽, Smith R. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Davies W. ⚽, Bonds E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, Muldoon J. ⚽, Fox B. (A),
61', Norwood J. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
61', McCann L. ↓, Ennis E. ↑,
71', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Helm M. ↑,
71', Davies W. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Bonds E. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
78', 3 - 2, Graydon R. ⚽, Evans C. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 16).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Harrogate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fleetwood is the team to beat.

There will not play in Harrogate: Gibson L. (Inactive) Hill T. (Hamstring Injury) Thomson G. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Injury) Johnson W. (Inactive) Rooney S. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Harrogate: Cass L. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Fleetwood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Fleetwood Town - Leeds United U21	4:0 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Cheltenham Town - Fleetwood Town	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Fleetwood Town - Colchester United	4:2 ✺
20.09.25	Cambridge United - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Fleetwood Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLT
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
06.10.25	Harrogate Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.09.25	Harrogate Town - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
27.09.25	Gillingham - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Harrogate Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Swindon Town - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
21.04.25	Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town	3:1
29.12.24	Fleetwood Town - Harrogate Town	1:1

Upcoming Matches