The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 34.2%
Draw 28.3%
Oldham Athletic 37.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.9%
28%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
27.1%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fleetwood Town's form might have worsened.
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fleetwood Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Fleetwood Town - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Oldham will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
1. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 6. Bennett R. 5. Potter F. 4. Neal H. 14. McCann L. 15. Murphy A. 10. Helm M. 3. Andrew D. 17. Evans C. (C) 9. Davies W.
1. Hudson M. (G) 2. Scott-Morriss G. 5. Daniels D. 23. Delaney R. 3. Robson J. 17. Fawunmi F. 8. Norburn O. (C) 7. Appiah-Forson K. 15. Drummond K. 20. Nevitt E. 10. Kavanagh C.
Substitutes
29. Cirino R. 35. Costelloe S. 19. Coughlan R. 16. Haughey C. 20. Loupalo-Bi A. 27. McLean C. 22. Pradic J. (G)
14. Chilvers N. 9. Fondop M. 6. Monthe M. 4. Pett T. 24. Temple L. 22. Wilson A. (G) 18. Woods R.
Coaches
Lawlor M.
Mellon M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Neal H. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Drummond K. ⚽, Kavanagh C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Nevitt E. ↓, Fondop M. ↑,
67', Fawunmi F. ↓, Pett T. ↑,
67', Delaney R. ↓, Monthe M. ↑,
72', Murphy A. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
72', Davies W. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
75', Evans C. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
75', Andrew D. ↓, Haughey C. ↑,
77', Kavanagh C. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Coughlan R. ⚽, Rooney S. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2.
Fleetwood is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Oldham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Oldham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Fleetwood: Thompson-Sommers K.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Oldham: Stevens J.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Fleetwood
13
3
5
5
15:17
-2
14
20
Oldham
12
3
3
6
14:18
-4
12
Outrights of English League Two for now
Oldham: 2.34%
Last Results with these Odds
Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.03%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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Lynch J. (G) 
Rooney S. 
McCann L. 
Murphy A. 
Evans C. (C) 
Daniels D. 
Norburn O. (C) 
Monthe M. 
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