The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rotherham United 46.4%
Draw 28%
Gillingham 25.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.4%
26.3%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
25.7%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
Rotherham United - Gillingham Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Gillingham will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Eyestone J. (G) 27. Iorfa D. 14. Aljofree S. 5. Ngwenya K. 12. Hall D. 4. Austerfield J. 6. Ashley O. 28. Cover B. 8. Spence K. 10. Mullin P. (C) 24. Buyabu J.
1. Wright O. (G) 5. Smith A. 19. Beckles O. (C) 26. Dobbs L. 22. Freeman N. 8. Little A. 14. McKenzie R. 16. Brophy J. 24. Waldock H. 11. Sillah L. 10. Hale R.
Substitutes
9. Bradshaw T. 1. Cann T. (G) 26. Douglas H. 15. Fitzgerald J. 22. Jellis J. 23. Nemane A. 2. Rafferty J.
17. Antwi C. 6. Coleman E. 23. Dack B. 20. Daley J. 39. Eaves T. 18. Kendall S. 40. Luthra R. (G)
Coaches
Bruce A.
Ainsworth G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Mullin P. ⚽, Spence K. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Hale R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Ashley O. ↓, Jellis J. ↑,
47', Brophy J. 🟨,
51', Dobbs L. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Sillah L. ⚽, Brophy J. (A),
61', Austerfield J. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
66', Eyestone J. 🟨,
67', 1 - 3, Hale R. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Spence K. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
75', Iorfa D. 🟨,
77', Little A. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
78', Waldock H. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
82', Hale R. ↓, Kendall S. ↑,
82', Sillah L. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
83', Dobbs L. ↓, Daley J. ↑,
84', Iorfa D. ↓, Fitzgerald J. ↑,
88', Aljofree S. 🟨,
89', 1 - 4, Eaves T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 17th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 4.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Rotherham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gillingham has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Rotherham is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Rotherham: Agbaire L.
(Inactive)
Lolos K.
(Inactive)
Otoo E.
(Inactive)
Sebine G.
(Inactive)
Tavares F.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Gillingham: Goodwin W.
(Injury)
Gordon L.
(Inactive)
Harris K.
(Inactive)
King E.
(Injury)
Maclorg L.
(Inactive)
Obiero Z.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Rotherham: Jellis J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Gillingham: Tabares S.
(Inactive).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Rotherham has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:11 (averaging 2.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rotherham against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 2.8:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Gillingham
13
4
5
4
18:18
0
17
22
Rotherham
13
2
6
5
17:23
-6
12
Outrights of English League Two for now
Gillingham: 2.01% Rotherham: 0.98%
Last Results with these Odds
Gillingham - the odds 3.83 are the expected chance of winning is 24.26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.