Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Fleetwood Town		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.3
	2.95	3.4	2.3
	3	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.03	3.54	2.4
	3.03	3.54	2.37
	2.88	3.3	2.3
	2.99	3.42	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.9)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	2.32 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
31.7%

Draw
27.6%

Stevenage Borough
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.9%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

27.3%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Fleetwood Town - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 16. Heneghan B. (C) 5. Lawal B. 32. Earl J. 17. Simons X. 4. Wiredu B. 10. Mayor D. 11. Broom R. 14. Marriott J. 44. Patterson P.	1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 2. Wildin L. 15. Vancooten T. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 3. Butler D. 24. Thompson B. 17. Burns F. 8. Forster-Caskey J. 11. Roberts J. 19. Reid J. 29. Hemmings K.
Substitutes
19. Graydon R. 18. Holgate H. 2. Johnston C. 30. McMullan S. (G) 9. Stockley J. 7. Tshimanga K. 8. Vela J.	10. Freeman N. 12. Hegyi K. (G) 9. List E. 7. MacDonald A. 20. Pressley A. 23. Thompson L. 4. Thompson N.
Coaches
Johnson L.	Evans S.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Fleetwood is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stevenage in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stevenage have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League One
11.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Leicester City U21	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
English League One
01.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Blackpool	3:3 ✺
28.10.23	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWTT
- Stevenage Borough
English League One
18.11.23	Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Stevenage Borough - Crystal Palace U21	5:2 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	4:3 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Derby County	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW

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