Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 17

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Fleetwood Town		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.2
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.2	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.27	3.53	3.21
	2.28	3.53	3.21
	2.2	3.4	3
	2.2	3.48	3.13	Watch
	2.22	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.38)	3.47 ↑ (3.41)	3.13 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
42.5%

Draw
27.3%

Exeter City
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27.9%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Fleetwood Town - Exeter City Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Exeter will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 5. Lawal B. 16. Heneghan B. (C) 32. Earl J. 4. Wiredu B. 20. Omochere P. 11. Broom R. 10. Mayor D. 44. Patterson P. 14. Marriott J.	1. Sinisalo V. (G) 26. Sweeney P. 4. Aimson W. (C) 5. Hartridge A. 31. Harper V. 16. Kite H. 8. Trevitt R. 3. Jules Z. 29. Aitchison J. 11. Scott J. 10. Muskwe A.
Substitutes
19. Graydon R. 18. Holgate H. 30. McMullan S. (G) 6. Robertson S. 17. Simons X. 9. Stockley J. 7. Tshimanga K.	51. Cunningham A. 39. Diabate C. 30. MacDonald S. (G) 14. Niskanen I. 35. O'Connor J. 23. Taylor K. 13. Wildschut Y.
Coaches
Johnson L.	Caldwell G.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 0.

Fleetwood is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Exeter has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Exeter could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Exeter have a series of home games.

Fleetwood will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Fleetwood to win the game is with odds 2.19.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Leicester City U21	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
English League One
01.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Blackpool	3:3 ✺
28.10.23	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
24.10.23	Reading - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTTW
- Exeter City
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
31.10.23	Exeter City - Middlesbrough	2:3 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Exeter City - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Derby County - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Exeter City - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.04.23	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	2:2
22.10.22	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	2:1
English League Two
22.03.14	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	3:0
28.09.13	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	1:2
09.03.13	Fleetwood Town - Exeter City	0:0
10.11.12	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	2:2

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