Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Stevenage Borough		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7.5
	1.47	4.2	7
	1.45	4.2	6.5
	1.46	4.34	8
	1.46	4.35	7.43
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.46	4.25	7.1	Watch
	1.45	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)	4.26 ↑ (3.81)	7.13 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
64.7%

Draw
22.1%

Tranmere Rovers
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

24.5%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

19.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tranmere Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 14. Smith K. 15. Vancooten T. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 3. Butler D. 7. MacDonald A. 23. Thompson L. 10. Freeman N. 19. Reid J. 11. Roberts J. 9. List E.	1. McGee L. (G) 2. O'Connor L. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 24. Pike D. 4. Walker B. 22. Lewis P. 25. Apter R. 18. Jennings C. 8. Hendry R. 9. Norris L.
Substitutes
17. Burns F. 25. Hannam R. 12. Hegyi K. (G) 29. Hemmings K. 26. McNeill C. 22. Neal H. 24. Thompson B. 4. Thompson N. 18. White H.	14. Dennis K. 12. Jolley C. 16. Merrie C. 7. Morris K. 13. Murphy J. (G) 26. Norris J. 20. Taylor S. 27. Wood C. 21. Yarney J.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 3.

Recent matches Stevenage is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tranmere has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stevenage is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
28.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Derby County	3:1 ✺
24.10.23	Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Port Vale	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Blackpool - Stevenage Borough	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTLL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
28.10.23	Stockport County - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
24.10.23	Morecambe - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Tranmere Rovers - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Tranmere Rovers - Leicester City U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.02.23	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
30.07.22	Tranmere Rovers - Stevenage Borough	1:2
23.04.22	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	2:0
01.02.22	Tranmere Rovers - Stevenage Borough	1:0
09.02.21	Tranmere Rovers - Stevenage Borough	0:1
16.01.21	Stevenage Borough - Tranmere Rovers	0:0
09.02.19	Tranmere Rovers - Stevenage Borough	2:0

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