Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Kidderminster Harriers		Fleetwood Town

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.1
	3.4	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.35	2.12
	3.7	3.29	2.12
	3.5	3.25	2	Watch
	3.58	3.28	2.09	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (4.23)	3.28 ↓ (3.45)	2.1 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kidderminster Harriers
26.5%

Draw
28.7%

Fleetwood Town
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

27.2%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

27.1%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kidderminster Harriers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fleetwood Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kidderminster Harriers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fleetwood Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kidderminster Harriers - Fleetwood Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dibble C. (G) 2. Penny A. 12. Oxlade-Chamberlain C. 5. Pearce K. (C) 20. Robinson S. 3. Richards C. 14. Brown Z. 22. Maguire B. 24. Hobson B. 19. McLean R. 9. Morgan-Smith A.	13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 5. Lawal B. 16. Heneghan B. 32. Earl J. 4. Wiredu B. 20. Omochere P. 10. Mayor D. 8. Vela J. (C) 44. Patterson P. 14. Marriott J.
Substitutes
28. Hall K. 10. Hemmings A. 25. Hewett S. 18. Lissimore K. 15. McDonagh G. 1. Palmer T. (G) 7. Phillips K. 16. Preston M. 29. Rubio N. A.	11. Broom R. 19. Graydon R. 18. Holgate H. 30. McMullan S. (G) 6. Robertson S. 17. Simons X. 25. Teale C. 7. Tshimanga K.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fleetwood will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kidderminster Harriers
English National League
28.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Chesterfield	1:3 ✺
24.10.23	Altrincham - Kidderminster Harriers	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Halifax Town - Kidderminster Harriers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Kidderminster Harriers - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWW
- Fleetwood Town
English League One
01.11.23	Fleetwood Town - Blackpool	3:3 ✺
28.10.23	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
24.10.23	Reading - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Fleetwood Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.03.12	Kidderminster Harriers - Fleetwood Town	N/A

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