Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 16

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Stevenage Borough		Derby County

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.6
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	2.8	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.69	3.3	2.83
	2.91	3.27	2.61
	2.62	3.25	2.6
	2.72	3.32	2.54	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.59)	3.27 ↑ (3.27)	2.59 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
34.6%

Draw
28.9%

Derby County
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.6%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

29.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Stevenage Borough - Derby County Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Derby will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 2. Wildin L. 15. Vancooten T. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 3. Butler D. 7. MacDonald A. 17. Burns F. 10. Freeman N. 11. Roberts J. 9. List E. 19. Reid J.	1. Wildsmith J. (G) 24. Nyambe R. 35. Nelson C. 6. Cashin E. 3. Forsyth C. 8. Bird M. 4. Hourihane C. (C) 2. Wilson K. 17. Sibley L. 11. Mendez-Laing N. 14. Washington C.
Substitutes
12. Hegyi K. (G) 29. Hemmings K. 26. McNeill C. 14. Smith K. 24. Thompson B. 23. Thompson L. 4. Thompson N.	7. Barkhuizen T. 5. Bradley S. 9. Collins J. 22. Fornah T. 12. Smith K. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J.
Coaches
Evans S.	Warne P.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 8).

Recent matches Stevenage is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Derby is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Derby have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
24.10.23	Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Port Vale	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Blackpool - Stevenage Borough	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English League One
07.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLLW
- Derby County
English League One
24.10.23	Derby County - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Shrewsbury Town - Derby County	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Notts County - Derby County	1:2 ✺
English League One
07.10.23	Cheltenham Town - Derby County	1:1 ✺
03.10.23	Blackpool - Derby County	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.22	Stevenage Borough - Derby County	1:0

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