Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 20

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Flora Tallinn		Nõmme United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.24	6.00	7.75
	1.46	4.45	5.4
	1.45	5.1	6.12
	1.34	5.73	6.62	Watch
	1.37	4.7	5
	1.44	4.97	5.75	Watch
	1.39	5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.26)	5.14 ↓ (5.68)	6.01 ↓ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora Tallinn
66.7%

Draw
18%

Nõmme United
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

16.1%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flora Tallinn's form might have worsened.

Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kivila K. (G) 67. Antonov I. 24. Pihela O. 5. Vaher A. 7. Kuraksin D. 8. Teevali T. 18. Valdmets R. 9. Alliku R. (C) 89. Kalimullin M. 29. Alamaa S. 17. Usta T.	1. Lagus G. (G) 55. Chanda R. 2. Morishige Y. 6. Palts M. 10. Frolov A. (C) 14. Vassiljev N. 26. Oostenbrink K. 45. Jarvelaid H. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 9. Ounapuu E. 11. Chisala B.
Substitutes
33. Grunvald E. (G) 3. Kollo A. 23. Kolobov M. 32. Kreida V. 51. Kukkonen M. 53. Sammul R. 11. Sappinen R. 26. Tovstik S. 14. Varjund T. 6. Veering R. 20. Zenjov S.	24. Kabal G. 19. Krasnov I. 23. Laanelaid K. 71. Purg G. (G) 22. Radomskiy A. 13. Truuvaart A. 8. Vain B. 52. Vendelin T.
Coaches
Vasiliev K.	Cisakowski S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Kivila K. 🟥,
14', Valdmets R. ↓, Grunvald E. ↑,
17', Alamaa S. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Pihela O. (Own goal),
30', Vassiljev N. ↓, Vendelin T. ↑,
45+4', 0 - 2, Morishige Y. ⚽, Beglarishvili Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kalimullin M. ↓, Sappinen R. ↑,
46', Teevali T. ↓, Varjund T. ↑,
46', Ounapuu E. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
46', Vaher A. ↓, Kolobov M. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Varjund T. ⚽, Kuraksin D. (A),
73', Alliku R. ↓, Zenjov S. ↑,
79', Chisala B. ↓, Krasnov I. ↑,
79', Jarvelaid H. ↓, Vain B. ↑,
90+3', Krasnov I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Flora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flora is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Flora won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:2. (average 2.6:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Flora won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Flora	29	18	1	10	59:39	20	55
9	Nomme Utd	29	9	1	19	47:68	-21	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora Tallinn
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Iberia 1999 - Flora Tallinn	2:2 ✺
08.07.26	Flora Tallinn - Iberia 1999	2:3 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
02.07.26	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	0:3 ✺
28.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Flora Tallinn - Paide LM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TLWWL
- Nõmme United
Estonian Meistriliiga
11.07.26	Nõmme United - Kuressaare	3:2 ✺
03.07.26	Nõmme United - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme United	1:3 ✺
17.06.26	Nõmme United - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
29.05.26	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	0:4
Estonian Cup
10.03.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	3:1
Estonian Meistriliiga
07.03.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	3:0
05.10.24	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	0:4
18.08.24	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:0
29.06.24	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	1:1
01.03.24	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	2:0

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