The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Narva Trans 41.5%
Draw 25.4%
Nõmme United 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
23.3%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
22.8%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Narva Trans - Nõmme United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Pareiko D. (G) 25. Burjanadze S. 5. Campagna C. 12. Eriks Santos 14. Filatov A. 6. Slein G. 8. Agaptsev S. 7. Velijev M. 39. Poliakov D. 9. Doke J. 10. Gero A.
1. Lagus G. (G) 55. Chanda R. 26. Oostenbrink K. 6. Palts M. 3. Merilai S. 14. Vassiljev N. 10. Frolov A. 45. Jarvelaid H. 20. Matas K. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 11. Chisala B.
Substitutes
47. Baljabkin N. 88. Besigirskis A. 70. Imeh J. 4. Ivanyushin A. 23. Jegorov A. 16. Kondrattsev S. 29. Kudriashov V. 66. Petkus E. 17. Skinjov A. 1. Zahharov M. (G) 22. Zuravljov E.
19. Krasnov I. 23. Laanelaid K. 2. Morishige Y. 91. Ortega R. (G) 9. Ounapuu E. 71. Purg G. (G) 22. Radomskiy A. 13. Truuvaart A.
Coaches
Elysee
Cisakowski S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽, Matas K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vassiljev N. ↓, Morishige Y. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Chisala B. ⚽, Matas K. (A),
70', Chisala B. ↓, Ounapuu E. ↑,
70', Merilai S. ↓, Laanelaid K. ↑,
71', Oostenbrink K. 🟨,
73', Burjanadze S. ↓, Ivanyushin A. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Gero A. ⚽,
80', Poliakov D. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
81', Matas K. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
82', Campagna C. 🟨,
90', Frolov A. 🟨,
90+2', Beglarishvili Z. ↓, Krasnov I. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 3.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Narva Trans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 2.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
Estonia
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Pareiko D. (G) 
Burjanadze S. 
Campagna C. 
Eriks Santos 
Velijev M. 
Poliakov D. 
Doke J. 
Gero A. 
Chanda R. 
Oostenbrink K. 
Morishige Y. 
Elysee 
Cisakowski S. 
