Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Independence Ground (Floriana)


	Floriana		Drita Gjilan

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.30	3.40	1.98
	3.05	3.25	2.18	Watch
	3.19	3.45	2.33
	3.07	3.6	2.17	Watch
	3.15	2.85	2.3
	2.92	3.82	2.23	Watch
	3	3.4	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (4.23)	3.42 ↓ (3.85)	2.19 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floriana
30.4%

Draw
27.1%

Drita Gjilan
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

23.9%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Floriana's performance.

Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Drita Gjilan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	9.1%	68.2%

Floriana - Drita Gjilan Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Floriana will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Drita will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Drita: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Drita (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cioletti G. (G) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C. 17. Spiteri O. 4. Kauan 3. Beerman M. 14. Kurtalic A. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C) 11. Muric R. 19. Jah M. 28. Mbong P.	1. Maloku F. (G) 2. Krasniqi Be. (C) 25. Bytyci A. 32. Pellumbi J. 26. Ovouka R. 14. Dabiqaj A. 8. Limaj V. 77. Abazaj K. 19. Krasniqi Bl. 7. Jashari I. 9. Manaj A.
Substitutes
16. Chapi 9. Dervisagic K. 6. Drina A. 22. Gudelj T. 88. N Dri A. C. 80. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 8. Scerri Z. 27. Vella Newell Z.	99. Arthur M. 24. Baeten W. 10. Balaj L. 22. Behluli L. (G) 4. Broja R. 17. Grezda O. 74. Isufi E. (G) 28. Mjaki A. 55. Salihu H. 3. Sheji B.
Coaches
Portela D.	Ramadani Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Abazaj K. 🟨,
34', Krasniqi Be. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Mbong P. 🟨,
62', Muric R. ↓, Dervisagic K. ↑,
73', Vella D. ↓, Chapi ↑,
73', Jah M. ↓, Scerri Z. ↑,
73', Zammit Lonardelli C. ↓, Gudelj T. ↑,
73', Manaj A. ↓, Balaj L. ↑,
88', Abazaj K. ↓, Sheji B. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 1, Balaj L. ⚽, Krasniqi Bl. (A),
90+9', Kurtalic A. ↓, Drina A. ↑,
90+9', Jashari I. ↓, Salihu H. ↑,
90+9', Balaj L. ↓, Grezda O. ↑,
90+10', Salihu H. 🟨,
90+12', 1 - 1, Drina A. ⚽, Varela F. (A),

Preview

First leg.

Drita has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Drita has had a series of away games.

Drita might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Drita Gjilan - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.34%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floriana FC
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Shamrock Rovers - Floriana	5:1 ✺
07.07.26	Floriana - Shamrock Rovers	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
16.05.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Valletta - Floriana	0:1 penalties ✺
30.04.26	Gżira United - Floriana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWW
- FC Drita Gjilan
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Drita Gjilan - Kauno Žalgiris	2:3 ✺
07.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Drita Gjilan	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Lokomotiv Sofia - Drita Gjilan	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Drita Gjilan	4:1 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
31.05.26	Malisheva - Drita Gjilan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL

Floriana - Drita Gjilan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide