Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 17

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)

Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Floriana		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.55	6.3	Watch
	1.38	5.21	5.79	Watch
	1.36	4.4	6.5
	1.33	4.85	6.97
	1.38	4	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.23)	4.6 ↓ (5)	6.38 ↓ (10.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floriana
66.2%

Draw
19.6%

Naxxar Lions
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.4%

18.1%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Floriana's form might have worsened.

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naxxar Lions's recent form is better than expected.

Floriana - Naxxar Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cioletti G. (G) 3. Beerman M. 9. Dervisagic K. 25. Gamarra G. 19. Jah M. 14. Kurtalic A. 34. Mendonca I. 17. Spiteri O. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C) 70. Veselji M.	1. Debono M. (G) 10. Farias E. (C) 7. Fenech M. 33. Joao Moura 3. JP Iseppe 21. Micallef M. 15. Montero Y. 19. Rosiel 4. Theo Kruger 24. Vinicius Baiano 11. Vitinho
Substitutes
94. Areias R. 18. Baldacchino L. 22. Chico Teixeira 7. De Flavia A. 8. Grech J. 6. Joyce N. 1. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 27. Vella Newell Z. 55. Zammit D.	28. Bonanno G. 17. Bugeja F. 14. Gauci C. 30. Guehi S. 31. Hudson M. 22. Kontchou C. 18. Letherby D. 8. Pace Cocks N. 25. Portelli O. 16. Sanchez E. 99. Vella A. (G)
Coaches
Portela D.	Muscat W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
16', Joao Moura 🟨,
29', Jah M. ↓, Areias R. ↑,
29', Areias R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Gamarra G. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Grech J. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Dervisagic K. ⚽,
75', Micallef M. ↓, Pace Cocks N. ↑,
75', Fenech M. ↓, Gauci C. ↑,
75', Montero Y. ↓, Kontchou C. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Areias R. ⚽,
79', Dervisagic K. ↓, Chico Teixeira ↑,
89', Varela F. ↓, Piscopo E. ↑,
90', Theo Kruger 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 5.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Floriana has had a series of home games.

Recently, Naxxar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Floriana is the obvious favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 48:14. (average 2.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Floriana won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:5. (average 2.7:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	9	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
10.01.26	Floriana - Valletta	0:0 ✺
07.01.26	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.01.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	1:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
20.12.25	Floriana - Sliema Wanderers	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Floriana - Birkirkara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWW
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
11.01.26	Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
08.01.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Marsa - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
19.12.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	2:3 ✺
11.12.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
17.08.25	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	1:3
05.01.25	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	4:0
16.09.24	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	0:2
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	3:9
Maltese Premier League
25.02.24	Naxxar Lions - Floriana	0:3
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	2:0
Maltese Premier League
21.10.23	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	1:1

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