Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Flota Świnoujście		Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	4 (4)	4.2 (4.2)

The best margin for this event is 13.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flota Świnoujście
56.9%

Draw
22.1%

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

20.9%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Flota Świnoujście have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Flota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flota is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flota won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Flota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Swinoujscie	11	4	2	5	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.04.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
01.04.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Flota Świnoujście	6:2 ✺
28.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Flota Świnoujście - Noteć Czarnków	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLW
- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.04.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Wda Świecie - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Września	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	0:2
07.06.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	1:0
16.11.24	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:3
25.11.23	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	1:2
05.08.23	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:3

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