Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Flota Świnoujście		Lech Poznań 2

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.7	2.3
	2.67	3.51	2.34	Watch
	2.45	3.8	2.34	Watch
	2.45	3.8	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.84)	3.7 ↑ (3.51)	2.33 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flota Świnoujście
36.3%

Draw
24.6%

Lech Poznań 2
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

26.5%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lech Poznań 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flota Świnoujście that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Flota Świnoujście - Lech Poznań 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Flota (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Flota (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, (Pen),
12', 1 - 1, Turski H. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Flota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Flota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Including home match between the teams, Flota won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie	3:2 penalties ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lipno Stęszew	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	6:0 ✺
17.09.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lech Poznań 2	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
27.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Flota Świnoujście	3:1
02.11.24	Flota Świnoujście - Lech Poznań 2	2:5

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