Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	08:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	18:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	19:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	01:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	19:00	ESPN 5
Colombia	17:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	00:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	17:00	ESPN 2
Germany	00:00	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Greece	01:00	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Hong Kong	06:00	HOY TV
Israel	01:00	Sport 3
Kosovo	00:00	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
New Zealand	10:00	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	00:00	Arena Premium 1
Paraguay	18:00	ESPN 2
Peru	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Serbia	00:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	00:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
International	22:00	Pluto TV


	Platense		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.90	2.63	Watch
	2.90	2.80	2.65
	2.85	2.80	2.75	Watch
	3.12	2.92	2.74
	2.87	2.87	2.87
	2.95	2.85	2.70
	3.29	2.89	2.49	Watch
	2.95	2.80	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.58)	2.85 ↓ (3.08)	2.69 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
31.5%

Draw
33.2%

Fluminense
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

Platense - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Fluminense (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Cozzani J. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 34. Mendia M. 4. Lagos A. 26. Ferreira P. 24. Barrios M. 7. Mainero G. 18. Merlini B. 43. Retamar K. 79. Sepulveda B.	1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga 3. Thiago Silva (C) 29. Millan J. 6. Rene 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. 10. PH Ganso 30. Soteldo Y. 7. Hulk
Substitutes
15. Amarfil M. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 38. Ingenthron C. 99. Lencina G. 11. Lopez N. 21. Lotti A. 6. Raggio E. 3. Silva T. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 16. Togni G. 10. Zapiola F.	32. Acosta L. 19. Castillo R. 13. Guilherme Arana 21. Igor Rabello 44. Jemmes 46. Julio Fidelis 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 94. Otavio 28. Riquelme Felipe 2. Samuel Xavier 11. Savarino J. 90. Serna K.
Coaches
Palermo M.	Marcao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Millan J. 🟨,
13', Vazquez I. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Mainero G. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Sepulveda B. ⚽, Mainero G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, Canobbio A. ⚽, Hulk (A),
61', Lagos A. 🟨,
63', PH Ganso 🟨,
72', Soteldo Y. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
75', Merlini B. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
79', PH Ganso ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
80', Mainero G. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
90+3', Hercules ↓, Otavio ↑,
90+3', Hulk ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
90+4', Canobbio A. ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
90+5', Gauto J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-2.

Platense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fluminense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Platense: Bobadilla H. (Inactive) Gimenez L. (Inactive) Goni G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nasif T. (Knee Injury) Quiros S. (Inactive) Victor Cuesta (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Fluminense: Alisson (Hip Injury) Cano G. (Injury) Hulk (Inactive) Ignacio (Injury) John Kennedy (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Knee Injury) Nonato (Yellow Cards) Samuel Xavier (Shoulder Injury) Thiago Silva (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Platense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Fluminense - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Platense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.09.26	Fluminense - Platense	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.26	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Defensa y Justicia - Platense	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.08.26	Platense - Instituto Córdoba	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.09.26	Fluminense - Platense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.09.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Fluminense - Remo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.09.26	Fluminense - Platense	2:0

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