Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 26

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Coritiba		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.20	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.70
	2.50	3.10	2.85	Watch
	2.74	3.26	2.85
	2.54	3.41	2.78	Watch
	2.70	3.20	2.75
	2.63	3.27	2.90	Watch
	2.60	3.20	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.25)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	2.78 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
36.4%

Draw
29.3%

Mirassol
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Coritiba's form might have worsened.

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Coritiba - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 4. Rodrigo Moledo 55. Jacy (C) 26. Bruno Melo 21. Thiago Santos 19. Gomez S. 7. Lavega J. 28. Fabinho 77. Breno Lopes 32. Pedro Rocha	23. Alex Muralha (G) 32. Igor Formiga 34. Joao Victor (C) 3. Willian Machado 6. Reinaldo 80. Wallisson 27. Denilson 19. Gustavo Silva 33. Eduardo 77. Alesson 30. Bruno Santos
Substitutes
6. Felipe Jonatan 14. Gabriel Ibson 39. Gustavo 10. Josue 30. Khensane 37. Lucas Crepaldi 3. Maicon 18. Paulo Roberto 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 99. Rodrigo Rodrigues 50. Tissi 36. Vini Paulista	9. Andre Luis 96. Carlos Eduardo 55. Cazonatti G. 10. Chico Kim 20. Daniel Borges 17. Fernandinho 44. Gabriel Knesowitsch 5. Japa 2. Lucas Oliveira 7. Shaylon 90. Thomazella (G) 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Fernando Seabra	Rafael Guanaes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Denilson 🟨,
27', Daniel Borges 🟨,
34', Thiago Santos 🟨,
34', Joao Victor 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Thiago Santos ↓, Tissi ↑,
59', Jacy ↓, Maicon ↑,
59', Bruno Melo ↓, Paulo Roberto ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Pedro Rocha ⚽, Fabinho (A),
63', Joao Pedro Chermont 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Gustavo Silva ⚽, Igor Formiga (A),
73', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
76', Alesson ↓, Shaylon ↑,
77', Gustavo Silva ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
79', Fabinho ↓, Josue ↑,
82', Wallisson ↓, Cazonatti G. ↑,
82', Denilson ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Bruno Santos ⚽, Igor Formiga (A),
90+2', Shaylon 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).

Coritiba is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mirassol is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier (Knee Injury) Ocampo B. (Injury) Tiago Coser (Yellow Cards) Tinga (Injury)

There will not play in Mirassol: Edson Carioca (Injury) Jose Aldo (Muscle Injury) Negueba (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Coritiba: Jacy (Injury) Pedro Rangel (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mirassol: Walter (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Coritiba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Coritiba	29	10	8	11	37:47	-10	38
15	Mirassol	29	8	9	12	34:43	-9	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A
31.08.26	Remo - Coritiba	2:3 ✺
23.08.26	Coritiba - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	São Paulo - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Coritiba - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Coritiba - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWTWL
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A
02.09.26	Flamengo - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mirassol - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Santos - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.26	LDU Quito - Mirassol	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Mirassol - Flamengo	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
18.03.26	Mirassol - Coritiba	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
05.11.24	Mirassol - Coritiba	4:1
19.07.24	Coritiba - Mirassol	0:1

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