Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 18

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Brazil	TV Record
Colombia	Win Sports
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Flow


	Cruzeiro		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	4.1	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.5
	1.88	3.35	4.15	Watch
	1.93	3.52	4.42
	1.91	3.38	4.37
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.92	3.45	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.11)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	4.12 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
49.3%

Draw
27.7%

Fluminense
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro's performance.

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Cruzeiro - Fluminense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Cruzeiro (3.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Otavio Costa (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. (C) 11. Gerson 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 88. Christian 22. Villarreal N.	1. Fabio (C) 23. Guga 3. Jemmes 29. Millan J. 13. Guilherme Arana 90. Serna K. 5. Bernal F. 8. Martinelli 7. Soteldo Y. 9. John Kennedy 11. Savarino J.
Substitutes
9. Bruno Rodrigues 91. Chico 43. Joao Marcelo 2. Kaua Moraes 70. Kenji 16. Lucas Silva 7. Marquinhos 31. Matheus Cunha (G) 8. Matheus Henrique 17. Sinisterra L. 25. Villalba L. 94. Wanderson	32. Acosta L. 14. Cano G. 40. Davi Schuindt 35. Hercules 21. Igor Rabello 39. Keven Samuel 94. Otavio 6. Rene 28. Riquelme Felipe 2. Samuel Xavier 98. Vitor Eudes (G) 34. Wesley Nata
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', Romero L. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, John Kennedy ⚽, Jemmes (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Romero L. ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
46', Guilherme Arana ↓, Rene ↑,
56', Fagner ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
56', Arroyo K. ↓, Kenji ↑,
57', Villarreal N. ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
67', Soteldo Y. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
74', John Kennedy ↓, Cano G. ↑,
74', Savarino J. ↓, Samuel Xavier ↑,
75', Bernal F. ↓, Hercules ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Matheus Pereira ⚽,
82', Millan J. 🟨,
86', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
87', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,
89', Christian ↓, Chico ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fluminense has had a series of home games.

Cruzeiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio (Knee Injury) Kaua Prates (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Fluminense: Canobbio A. (International duty) Freytes J. (Yellow Cards) Ignacio (Broken Hand) Matheus Reis (Knee Injury) Nonato (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Cruzeiro: William Furtado (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Fluminense: Alisson (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fluminense	29	14	9	6	48:36	12	51
5	Cruzeiro	29	14	6	9	44:40	4	48

Last Results with these Odds

Cruzeiro - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.17%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Fluminense - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 27.2%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Cruzeiro - Barcelona Guayaquil	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.26	Cruzeiro - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Palmeiras - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.05.26	Cruzeiro - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTTW
- Fluminense RJ
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Fluminense - Deportivo La Guaira	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	Mirassol - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Fluminense - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Fluminense - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.05.26	Fluminense - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
09.11.25	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	0:0
17.07.25	Fluminense - Cruzeiro	0:2
03.10.24	Fluminense - Cruzeiro	1:0
19.06.24	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	2:0
20.09.23	Fluminense - Cruzeiro	1:0
10.05.23	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	0:2
Copa do Brasil
12.07.22	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	0:3

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