Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Foggia		Ternana

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.75
	3.8	3.4	1.8
	3.35	3.4	1.92
	4	3.3	1.78
	4.15	3.6	1.87
	3.75	3.4	1.91
	3.82	3.55	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.35)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)	1.84 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
24%

Draw
26.4%

Ternana
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

25.9%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

19.4%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Foggia - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B).

Recent matches Foggia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ternana in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Foggia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ternana will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Foggia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Foggia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
17.02.21	Avellino - Foggia	4:0 ✺
13.02.21	Foggia - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
07.02.21	Potenza - Foggia	0:1 ✺
02.02.21	Foggia - Teramo	0:0 ✺
30.01.21	Foggia - Casertana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTW
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
17.02.21	Ternana - Catania	5:1 ✺
08.02.21	Ternana - Casertana	5:1 ✺
03.02.21	Palermo - Ternana	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Ternana - Paganese	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	Viterbese - Ternana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
25.10.20	Ternana - Foggia	2:0
Italian Serie B
17.04.18	Ternana - Foggia	2:2
18.11.17	Foggia - Ternana	1:1

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