Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	San Giovanni		Pennarossa

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.48	3.05	2.69
	2.41	3.33	2.69	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.7
	2.44	3.06	2.66
	2.45	3	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.21)	3.07 ↓ (3.54)	2.7 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Giovanni
37%

Draw
29.5%

Pennarossa
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

26%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

24.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

San Giovanni - Pennarossa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Zanni M. ⚽, D'Angeli E. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Zanni M. ⚽, D'Angeli E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', Arlotti D. 🟥,
84', 3 - 0, Zanni M. ⚽, Bianchi G. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Pennarossa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pennarossa has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, San Giovanni won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
10.02.26	San Giovanni - Tre Penne	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Cosmos - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	San Giovanni - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Fiorentino - San Giovanni	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	San Giovanni - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWL
- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
11.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Penne	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Pennarossa - Faetano	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Virtus - Pennarossa	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Pennarossa - Fiorentino	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.25	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	2:1
02.11.24	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	0:5
16.12.23	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	0:3
22.01.23	San Giovanni - Pennarossa	1:1
03.09.22	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	4:0
06.04.22	San Giovanni - Pennarossa	1:1
18.09.17	San Giovanni - Pennarossa	0:1

San Giovanni - Pennarossa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide