Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 19Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
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Siena |
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Orvietana |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.08 |
3.1 |
3.25 |
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2.15 |
3.15 |
3.21 |
Watch |
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2.23 |
3.22 |
3.22 |
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2.12 |
3.1 |
3.25 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↓ (2.25) |
3.14 ↓ (3.35) |
3.23 ↑ (2.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Siena 42.6% | Draw 29.1% | Orvietana 28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)Siena - Orvietana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 59', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 88', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+5', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).Siena is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Orvietana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). Siena could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Siena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Siena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;