Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday


	Wingate & Finchley		Brightlingsea Regent

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.85	3.45	3.25
	1.85	3.7	3.35
	1.88	3.98	3.37
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.83	3.75	3.56
	1.87	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.12)	3.69 ↑ (3.49)	3.42 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
49.1%

Draw
24.5%

Brightlingsea Regent
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

25.9%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wingate & Finchley's performance.

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brightlingsea Regent might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wingate & Finchley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wingate & Finchley will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 1.

Recent matches Wingate & Finchley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brightlingsea has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Brightlingsea have a series of guest games.

Wingate & Finchley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Wingate & Finchley won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.10.22	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	0:3 ✺
18.10.22	Wingate & Finchley - Hastings United	0:4 ✺
15.10.22	Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Kingstonian - Wingate & Finchley	2:3 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.10.22	Bishops Stortford - Wingate & Finchley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WLLWT
- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.10.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
19.10.22	Cray Wanderers - Brightlingsea Regent	4:0 ✺
12.10.22	Kingstonian - Brightlingsea Regent	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Haringey Borough - Brightlingsea Regent	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.22	Needham Market - Brightlingsea Regent	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.02.22	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1
16.10.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Wingate & Finchley	1:3
25.01.20	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	0:0
12.10.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Wingate & Finchley	1:1
26.01.19	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	2:2
13.11.18	Brightlingsea Regent - Wingate & Finchley	0:1
14.11.17	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	2:1

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