The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forest Green Rovers 41%
Draw 28.7%
Cheltenham Town 30.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
28.9%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
28.1%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forest Green Rovers's performance.
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheltenham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forest Green Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.1%
26.3%
31.6%
Forest Green Rovers - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Forest Green: 19.9% – 64.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 16).
Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (27.66%), has project points - 40, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cheltenham has the most likely position - 17 (8.56%), has project points - 56, has currently - 25, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality13, importance34, small match rating23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 1.
Recent matches Forest Green is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cheltenham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Forest Green have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.
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