The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forest Green Rovers 38%
Draw 28.1%
Cambridge United 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
29%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
28.6%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forest Green Rovers's performance.
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
56.5%
17.4%
26.1%
Forest Green Rovers - Cambridge United Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Cambridge will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Forest Green: 36.2% – 76.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 20).
Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (34.48%), has project points - 38, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cambridge has the most likely position - 22 (12.43%), has project points - 47, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality12, importance40, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 4.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cambridge have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.
Watch
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