Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 19

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Oxford United		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7
	1.47	4.5	6
	1.45	4.8	6.5
	1.43	4.6	6.2
	1.45	4.81	7.01
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.46	4.9	6.8	Watch
	1.43	4.7	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.7)	4.68 ↑ (3.65)	6.55 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
65.4%

Draw
20.2%

Forest Green Rovers
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.8%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford United's performance.

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	5%	15%

Oxford United - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Oxford United will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Oxford has the most likely position - 10 (8.69%), has project points - 66, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (36.41%), has project points - 37, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (80%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 15, small importance 23, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Oxford is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Forest Green is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Oxford is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Oxford to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oxford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English FA Cup
16.11.22	Woking - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
English League One
12.11.22	Oxford United - Port Vale	4:0 ✺
09.11.22	Shrewsbury Town - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
01.11.22	Oxford United - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Bolton Wanderers - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTTW
- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
12.11.22	Forest Green Rovers - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	South Shields - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
English League One
29.10.22	Barnsley - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
25.10.22	Fleetwood Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Oxford United - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 penalties
English FA Cup
20.11.18	Forest Green Rovers - Oxford United	0:3
10.11.18	Oxford United - Forest Green Rovers	0:0
06.12.15	Oxford United - Forest Green Rovers	1:0

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