Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport


	Bury		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.70	1.85
	3.60	3.90	1.90
	3.25	3.70	1.85
	3.60	3.86	1.76
	3.26	3.89	1.98	Watch
	3.45	3.80	1.74
	3.51	3.82	1.91	Watch
	3.40	3.70	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.16)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	1.86 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury
26.6%

Draw
24.1%

Harrogate Town
49.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

25%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

24%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Bury - Harrogate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, McGuckin C. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Evans K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Bury may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Harrogate is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury FC
English NPL Premier Division
10.10.26	Alfreton Town - Bury	2:3 ✺
06.10.26	Stockton Town - Bury	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Bury - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Bury - Gainsborough Trinity	4:3 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Bury - Workington	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW
- Harrogate Town
English National League
10.10.26	Woking - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Harrogate Town - Hornchurch	3:0 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Hartlepool United - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
English National League
26.09.26	Harrogate Town - Eastleigh	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Boreham Wood - Harrogate Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury FC
English NPL Premier Division
27.10.26	Bury - Leek Town	✺
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Bury - Prescot Cables	✺
- Harrogate Town
English National League
24.10.26	Harrogate Town - Sutton United	✺

Bury - Harrogate Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide