The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Harrogate Town 53.9%
Draw 22.8%
Bury 23.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.1%
21.2%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.7%
20%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.
Bury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Harrogate Town - Bury Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Dolaghan B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Touray M. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Replay (first match was draw).
Harrogate is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bury is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bury may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Harrogate for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Harrogate in today's match, at odds of 1.71.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Harrogate has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.