Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 43

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Referee: Davies A. (Eng)


	Forest Green Rovers		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.8
	4.2	3.75	1.75
	4.2	3.75	1.8
	4.4	3.87	1.82
	4.4	3.87	1.8
	4.2	3.8	1.75
	4.21	3.78	1.78	Watch
	4.3	3.65	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.92)	3.76 ↑ (3.64)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
21.9%

Draw
25.1%

Milton Keynes Dons
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

25.7%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Forest Green Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Reyes V. (G) 5. Inniss R. 36. Keogh R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 16. Thompson D. 46. Osadebe E. 8. McCann C. 17. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 10. Doidge C. 11. Garrick J.	32. Kelly M. (G) 4. Tucker J. 5. O'Hora W. 3. Lewington D. (C) 29. Lofthouse K. 11. Payne J. 50. Bate L. 21. Harvie D. 24. Wearne S. 8. Gilbey A. 18. Dean M.
Substitutes
3. Bernard D. 27. Bunker H. 25. Dabo F. 28. Jones C. 18. Maddox J. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G)	9. Harrison E. 27. Kemp D. 33. Marschall F. (G) 2. Norman C. 17. Robson E. 22. Tezgel E. 6. Williams M.
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Williamson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Dean M. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
44', Moore-Taylor J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Gilbey A. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
61', McCann C. 🟨,
69', Tucker J. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
69', Dean M. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
75', Wearne S. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
75', Payne J. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
79', Thompson D. ↓, Maddox J. ↑,
79', McCann C. ↓, Dabo F. ↑,
79', McAllister K. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
89', Gilbey A. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
89', Osadebe E. ↓, Omotoye T. ↑,
89', Doidge C. ↓, Bunker H. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match MK Dons is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
01.04.24	Crewe Alexandra - Forest Green Rovers	0:3 ✺
29.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Stockport County	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Doncaster Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Bradford City - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLLLW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
01.04.24	Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons	3:3 ✺
29.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Walsall	5:0 ✺
23.03.24	Stockport County - Milton Keynes Dons	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	3:1 ✺
12.03.24	Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.12.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Forest Green Rovers	2:0
English League One
21.01.23	Forest Green Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2
26.12.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Forest Green Rovers	1:0
English League Two
30.03.19	Forest Green Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2
15.09.18	Milton Keynes Dons - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
English League Cup
08.08.17	Forest Green Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ET

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