The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Forest Green Rovers 40.7%
Draw 27.7%
Plymouth Argyle 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
27.6%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
27.5%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forest Green Rovers's performance.
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forest Green Rovers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
42.9%
0%
Forest Green Rovers - Plymouth Argyle Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Forest Green has the most likely position - 18 (6.2%), has project points - 56, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Plymouth has the most likely position - 13 (5.96%), has project points - 61, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality19, small importance25, small match rating22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Forest Green is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Plymouth is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Forest Green could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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