Match Info

Date: 16 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	3
	2.3	3.3	2.95
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.27	3.3	2.95
	2.34	3.56	3.07
	2.3	3.3	3
	2.33	3.52	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)	3.4 ↑ (3.31)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
40.8%

Draw
27.8%

Plymouth Argyle
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32%	40%	28%

Charlton Athletic - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Plymouth will win (votes: 7 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 20.8% – 59.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Charlton has the most likely position - 11 (5.84%), has project points - 63, has currently - 4, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Plymouth has the most likely position - 9 (5.87%), has project points - 66, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 22, small importance 15, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Charlton won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
13.08.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Charlton Athletic - Queens Park Rangers	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Charlton Athletic - Derby County	1:0 ✺
30.07.22	Accrington Stanley - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Charlton Athletic - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWTL
- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
13.08.22	Plymouth Argyle - Peterborough United	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.22	Plymouth Argyle - Peterborough United	0:2 ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Fleetwood Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Yeovil Town - Plymouth Argyle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
18.12.21	Plymouth Argyle - Charlton Athletic	1:0
20.11.21	Charlton Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	2:0
20.04.21	Plymouth Argyle - Charlton Athletic	0:6
26.12.20	Charlton Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	2:2
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Charlton Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	0:1
English League One
06.04.19	Plymouth Argyle - Charlton Athletic	0:2
22.09.18	Charlton Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	2:1

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