Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Lewis R. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.25	3.35	2.25
	3	3.3	2.23
	3.32	3.51	2.24
	3.2	3.3	2.2
	3.26	3.52	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.87)	3.41 ↑ (3.29)	2.23 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
29.9%

Draw
27.7%

Plymouth Argyle
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Fleetwood Town - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Plymouth will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Fleetwood has the most likely position - 23 (7.42%), has project points - 53, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (29%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Plymouth has the most likely position - 10 (5.83%), has project points - 65, has currently - 3, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 20, small importance 25, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 2.

Fleetwood could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Plymouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League One
30.07.22	Port Vale - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.22	Fleetwood Town - Rotherham United	0:2 ✺
English League One
30.04.22	Bolton Wanderers - Fleetwood Town	4:2 ✺
26.04.22	Fleetwood Town - Sheffield Wednesday	2:3 ✺
23.04.22	Fleetwood Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
30.07.22	Plymouth Argyle - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Yeovil Town - Plymouth Argyle	0:2 ✺
19.07.22	Torquay United - Plymouth Argyle	0:5 ✺
12.07.22	Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City	1:1 ✺
English League One
30.04.22	Plymouth Argyle - Milton Keynes Dons	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.01.22	Fleetwood Town - Plymouth Argyle	3:3
28.08.21	Plymouth Argyle - Fleetwood Town	1:1
13.02.21	Plymouth Argyle - Fleetwood Town	1:0
21.11.20	Fleetwood Town - Plymouth Argyle	5:1
16.03.19	Fleetwood Town - Plymouth Argyle	2:0
24.11.18	Plymouth Argyle - Fleetwood Town	2:1
10.03.18	Fleetwood Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1

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