Match Info

National League - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	DAZN USA, SportsEngine Play
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World	DAZN National League


	Forest Green Rovers		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.50	6.00
	1.42	4.40	5.50
	1.41	4.60	6.25
	1.43	5.17	6.82
	1.49	4.55	5.59	Watch
	1.41	4.95	6.35
	1.45	4.60	6.13
	1.43	4.70	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.36)	4.68 ↓ (5.21)	6.08 ↓ (6.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
64.9%

Draw
19.8%

Gateshead
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

17.8%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

13.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forest Green Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ross E. (G) 29. Abrefa K. 26. Mabete F. 5. Ajayi K. 27. Sass F. 6. Campbell T. 4. Clarke J. 20. Etaluku S. 25. Kelly K. 7. McAllister K. (C) 10. Rees R.	12. Jameson P. (G) 6. Robinson J. 5. Lankshear A. 24. Ferguson K. 38. Lewis-Burgess K. 17. Coyle R. 19. Supyk L. 21. Spellman M. 4. Home J. 7. Hiwula J. 28. Holgate H.
Substitutes
17. Ewing O. 8. Haughton N. 18. Ifeanyi B. 15. Kircough G. 12. McNicholas L. (G) 9. Mellor D. 14. Patrick O.	14. Boatswain A. 31. Cameron D. (G) 27. Eguaibor D. 20. Fenton J. 25. Issaka F. 2. Lavery T. 22. Smith M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Lankshear A. 🟨,
30', Supyk L. 🟨,
33', Robinson J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, McAllister K. ⚽, Rees R. (A),
45+1', Abrefa K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ajayi K. ↓, Kircough G. ↑,
55', Hiwula J. ↓, Fenton J. ↑,
55', Lankshear A. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
55', Coyle R. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
60', Kelly K. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Rees R. ⚽, McAllister K. (A),
69', 3 - 0, Clarke J. ⚽, Haughton N. (A),
70', Abrefa K. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
72', Etaluku S. ↓, Ewing O. ↑,
73', Rees R. ↓, Mellor D. ↑,
74', Campbell T. 🟨,
84', Ewing O. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 0, Ewing O. ⚽, Kircough G. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 3.

In recent matches, Forest Green has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gateshead has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Forest Green may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Forest Green is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19:22	-3	15
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
05.09.26	Hornchurch - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
English National League North
31.08.26	Forest Green Rovers - Altrincham	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Fylde - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
English National League
22.08.26	Forest Green Rovers - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Worthing - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLW
- Gateshead
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Gateshead - Derby County U21	1:3 ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Gateshead - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Harrogate Town - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Gateshead - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Yeovil Town - Gateshead	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.02.26	Gateshead - Forest Green Rovers	0:2
15.11.25	Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead	3:1
12.04.25	Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead	2:3
21.09.24	Gateshead - Forest Green Rovers	0:2
18.02.17	Gateshead - Forest Green Rovers	3:1
13.08.16	Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead	1:0
12.03.16	Gateshead - Forest Green Rovers	0:1

Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide