Match Info

National League - Round 17

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Forest Green Rovers		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.5
	1.4	4.75	6.5
	1.37	5.24	7.37
	1.61	4.04	4.78	Watch
	1.35	4.65	6.95
	1.55	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	4.47 ↑ (3.8)	6.18 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
64.2%

Draw
20.8%

Tamworth
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

23.3%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forest Green Rovers's performance.

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Forest Green Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Forest Green Rovers - Tamworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Tamworth will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forest Green: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Forest Green (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Forest Green Rovers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Forest Green (votes: 4 - 80%). Tamworth (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Isted H. (G) 21. Pemberton T. 5. Inniss R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 24. Buyabu J. 18. Moore I. 6. Mendy L. 7. McAllister K. 25. Whitwell H. 14. Clarke J. 27. Babalola T.	1. Singh J. (C) 15. Donkor K. 5. Digie K. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 6. Bates A. 4. Tonks T. 31. Maher R. 38. Ponticelli J. 10. Enoru B. 9. Duku I.
Substitutes
16. Bunker H. 17. Dausch A. 8. Haughton N. 32. Kanu A. 3. Kengni N. 11. Knowles T. 12. Pagel F. (G)	39. Creaney D. 2. Curley M. 34. De Silva D. 26. Hollis H. 27. Lynch O. 14. Mols S. 12. Rye J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Cullinane-Liburd J. 🟥,
9', Ponticelli J. ↓, Hollis H. ↑,
15', 0 - 1, Duku I. ⚽, Hollis H. (A),
21', Moore-Taylor J. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
34', 1 - 1, McAllister K. (Pen),
36', 2 - 1, Babalola T. ⚽, Mendy L. (A),
45+1', Tonks T. 🟨,
45+6', Whitwell H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Inniss R. ↓, Kanu A. ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Babalola T. ⚽, Buyabu J. (A),
60', Pemberton T. ↓, Knowles T. ↑,
61', Moore I. ↓, Bunker H. ↑,
66', Cockerill-Mollett C. ↓, Curley M. ↑,
66', Maher R. ↓, Rye J. ↑,
75', Clarke J. ↓, Dausch A. ↑,
76', Enoru B. ↓, Lynch O. ↑,
76', Duku I. ↓, Creaney D. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Haughton N. ⚽, McAllister K. (A),
82', 4 - 2, Rye J. ⚽, Tonks T. (A),
89', Buyabu J. 🟨,
90+2', Bates A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Tamworth has had a series of home games.

In this match, Forest Green is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
08.11.25	Aldershot Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
31.10.25	Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers	4:3 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Forest Green Rovers - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Forest Green Rovers - Leicester City U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWLL
- Tamworth
English National League
08.11.25	Tamworth - Woking	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.11.25	Tamworth - Leyton Orient	0:1 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Tamworth - Boston United	1:3 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Tamworth - Burnley U21	4:0 ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Aldershot Town - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.04.25	Forest Green Rovers - Tamworth	3:0
26.12.24	Tamworth - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
15.03.14	Tamworth - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
24.09.13	Forest Green Rovers - Tamworth	1:2
06.04.13	Tamworth - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
09.10.12	Forest Green Rovers - Tamworth	1:2

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