Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Station Park (Forfar)


	Forfar Athletic		Hibernian

	1	X	2
	19	7	1.17
	13	7.75	1.13
	19	8	1.12
	8.93	5.46	1.28
	17.72	7.95	1.13
	15	7.5	1.11
	18	8	1.13
	15	7.2	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.71 ↑ (6.98)	7.36 ↑ (4.52)	1.15 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forfar Athletic
6%

Draw
12.7%

Hibernian
81.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

20.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

16%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forfar Athletic's form might have worsened.

Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hibernian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forfar Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-27.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hibernian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Forfar Athletic - Hibernian Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Forfar will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Hibernian will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCallum M. (G) 5. Allan M. 6. Morrison S. 19. Munro A. 15. Hutchinson A. 3. Brindley T. 2. Nditi R. 10. Whatley M. 16. Robson F. 14. Ross S. 9. Skelly J.	1. Marshall D. (G) 49. Whittaker R. 5. Fish W. 4. Hanlon P. (C) 16. Stevenson L. 7. Youan T. 14. Jeggo J. 35. Allan-Molotnikov R. 11. Newell J. 29. Tavares J. 23. Doidge C.
Substitutes
11. Inglis K. 20. Mohammed R. 8. Moore C. 12. Mykyta T. 21. Paris Z. (G) 18. Paterson R. 7. Thomson C. 17. Watson D.	41. Blaney J. 31. Johnson M. (G) 53. Landers J. 6. Levitt D. 22. McKirdy H. 21. Obita J. 9. Vente D.

Preview

Recent matches Forfar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hibernian is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hibernian could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hibernian is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Forfar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Forfar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
13.01.24	Forfar Athletic - Elgin City	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	2:1 ✺
30.12.23	Forfar Athletic - East Fife	0:0 ✺
23.12.23	Peterhead - Forfar Athletic	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Forfar Athletic - Dumbarton	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTWL
- Hibernian FC
Scottish Premier League
02.01.24	Hibernian - Motherwell	2:2 ✺
27.12.23	Hibernian - Hearts	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	St. Johnstone - Hibernian	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	Livingston - Hibernian	0:1 ✺
06.12.23	Celtic - Hibernian	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
13.10.20	Forfar Athletic - Hibernian	0:1

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