Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Station Park (Forfar)


	Forfar Athletic		Inverness

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.44
	5.3	4.25	1.52
	6.18	4.04	1.48
	2.56	3.26	2.61	Watch
	5.68	4.48	1.49
	3.2	3.55	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (3.15)	3.99 ↑ (3.83)	1.74 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forfar Athletic
20.4%

Draw
24.2%

Inverness
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

23.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

23.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forfar Athletic's form might have worsened.

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inverness's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forfar Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inverness, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Forfar Athletic - Inverness Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Inverness (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Rennie M. ⚽, Sutherland J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', 1 - 1, MacLeod C. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Mackinnon A. ⚽,
63', 1 - 3, Longstaff L. ⚽, Bavidge A. (A),
90', 1 - 4, McKay B. ⚽, Wotherspoon D. (A),

Preview

Inverness is Qualified for Challenge Cup (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Forfar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Inverness is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Inverness will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forfar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Forfar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Forfar Athletic - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.94%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
04.10.25	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Edinburgh City - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
23.09.25	Forfar Athletic - Aberdeen 2	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
20.09.25	Forfar Athletic - Annan Athletic	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Forfar Athletic - Dumbarton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWL
- Inverness CT
Scottish League One
04.10.25	Hamilton Academical - Inverness	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Inverness - East Fife	4:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
23.09.25	Inverness - Dundee 2	6:0 ✺
Scottish League One
20.09.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Cove Rangers - Inverness	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
29.07.17	Forfar Athletic - Inverness	1:2

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