Match Info

League One - Round 23

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Palmerston Park (Dumfries)

Where to Watch on TV:


Scotland	BBC Scotland
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport


	Queen of the South		Inverness

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.73
	3.6	3.4	1.82
	4.05	3.55	1.78
	3.97	3.72	1.84
	4.2	3.69	1.78	Watch
	4	3.5	1.8
	4.17	3.5	1.75	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (4.37)	3.56 ↓ (3.78)	1.79 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
23.1%

Draw
25.7%

Inverness
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

24.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

23.7%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Queen of the South - Inverness Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Queen of the South (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Queen of the South (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stewart R. (G) 2. Hewitt M. 5. Douglas M. 6. Hannah J. 3. Charters T. 8. Luissint B. 4. Lyon R. 7. Smith L. 18. Stott J. 10. Kennedy K. 28. Guthrie K.	1. Munro R. (G) 14. MacLeod C. 6. Devine D. 5. Savage R. 3. MacIntyre O. 8. Mackinnon A. 19. Stewart A. 17. Sole L. 22. Alonge J. 23. Zimba C. 36. Bavidge A.
Substitutes
9. Allan J. 29. Armour C. (G) 11. Dickenson B. 26. Green L. (G) 14. Johnstone B. 16. MacKenzie Z. 15. Rogerson N. 21. Ross E.	7. Allan P. 18. Chalmers J. 4. Davidson J. 11. Longstaff L. 9. McKay B. 12. Robertson M. 21. Ross L. (G) 37. Willox K. 10. Wotherspoon D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Hewitt M. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Sole L. ⚽, MacLeod C. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Kennedy K. ⚽, Lyon R. (A),
38', Kennedy K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lyon R. ↓, Dickenson B. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Alonge J. ⚽, Sole L. (A),
52', Douglas M. 🟨,
55', Hannah J. ↓, Rogerson N. ↑,
58', Stewart A. 🟨,
65', Mackinnon A. 🟨,
68', Bavidge A. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
72', Stewart A. ↓, Allan P. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Hewitt M. ⚽, Dickenson B. (A),
82', Alonge J. 🟨,
83', Zimba C. 🟨,
83', Hewitt M. ↓, MacKenzie Z. ↑,
83', Guthrie K. ↓, Allan J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 2.

Queen of the South has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inverness is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Inverness may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inverness is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Queen of the South won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Queen of South	9	2	1	6	10:27	-17	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Scottish League One
24.01.26	East Fife - Queen of the South	1:5 ✺
10.01.26	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
06.01.26	Raith Rovers - Queen of the South	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
03.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Queen of the South	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Queen of the South - Hamilton Academical	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW
- Inverness CT
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.01.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
24.01.26	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	East Fife - Inverness	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Spartans - Inverness	1:0 penalties ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	Partick Thistle - Inverness	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
22.11.25	Inverness - Queen of the South	4:0
20.09.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	0:2
29.03.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	4:1
01.02.25	Inverness - Queen of the South	1:0
21.01.25	Queen of the South - Inverness	3:2
31.08.24	Inverness - Queen of the South	1:0
Scottish Football Championship
19.04.22	Queen of the South - Inverness	2:1

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