Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Forlì		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3	3.6
	2.28	3.15	3
	2.29	3.2	3.17
	2.52	2.52	3.55	Watch
	2.23	3.15	3.01	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.86)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	3.22 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Forlì
41%

Draw
30.3%

Guidonia Montecelio
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.2%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

28.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forlì's form might have worsened.

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guidonia Montecelio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forlì, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guidonia Montecelio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Forlì - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Forlì (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Forlì (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Forlì (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Forlì (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martelli L. (G) 27. Manetti G. 32. Pellizzari S. 25. Elia M. 24. Cavallini G. 3. Menarini F. 23. De Risio C. 6. Franzolini A. 10. Macri D. 9. Manuzzi F. 11. Farinelli N.	12. Mazzi G. (G) 2. Esempio S. 5. Cristini A. 6. Malomo A. 77. Zappella D. 14. Santoro S. 33. Tascone S. 21. Mastrantonio V. 8. Errico A. 10. Spavone A. 90. Bernardotto G.
Substitutes
15. Berti N. 1. Calvani S. (G) 18. Giovannini A. 29. Graziani G. 2. Mandrelli N. 7. Petrelli E. 8. Ripani D. 33. Saporetti S. 21. Scorza C. 14. Spinelli A. 16. Valentini F. 12. Veliaj G. (G)	9. Cali A. 18. Calzone S. 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 11. Marchioro R. 22. Mastrangelo E. (G) 13. Mule E. 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 17. Stefanelli F. 99. Tessiore A. 32. Zuppel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', De Risio C. 🟨,
31', Franzolini A. 🟨,
33', Menarini F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', De Risio C. ↓, Ripani D. ↑,
59', Spavone A. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
59', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Franchini S. ↑,
63', Manuzzi F. ↓, Petrelli E. ↑,
71', Tascone S. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
71', Santoro S. 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Petrelli E. ⚽,
79', Franzolini A. ↓, Mandrelli N. ↑,
79', Manetti G. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
83', Santoro S. ↓, Stefanelli F. ↑,
83', Errico A. ↓, Falleni A. ↑,
84', Malomo A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Forlì will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Pontedera - Forlì	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
19.09.25	Rimini - Forlì	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Forlì - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Sambenedettese - Forlì	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLLW
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.25	Bra - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Rimini	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Arezzo - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Ravenna	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches