Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sacchi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Forlì		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.00	2.55
	2.50	3.10	2.45	Watch
	2.76	3.08	2.70
	2.38	3.28	2.76	Watch
	2.70	3.00	2.65
	2.71	3.02	2.71	Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.49)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)	2.62 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
35.4%

Draw
29.7%

Livorno
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

28.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Forlì - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Theiner D. (G) 35. Diop S. 15. Valentini F. 95. Munaretti L. 11. Farinelli N. 10. Macri D. (C) 6. De Risio C. 8. Rosetti M. 30. Perretta G. 9. Coveri V. 7. Petrelli E.	91. Martinez M. (G) 19. Regazzetti S. 4. Bachini M. 34. Veseli F. 28. Rizza A. 32. Haas N. 3. Menarini F. 5. Bacciardi A. (C) 21. Malotti M. 77. Mawete J. C. 9. Gabbiani G.
Substitutes
19. Gabellini T. 5. Gaiola R. 2. Mandrelli N. 22. Martelli L. (G) 21. Mattioli G. 36. Onofri M. 26. Palomba L. 18. Perini G. 33. Rossi D. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 17. Spinelli A. 99. Tordiglione N. 4. Valentini F. 34. Veliaj G. (G) 77. Zerbo P.	7. Aramu M. 17. Arrigoni T. 24. Badoro C. 44. Bonassi L. 90. Calabro L. 22. Ciobanu D. (G) 6. Djidji K. 2. Gentile D. 11. Malagrida L. 14. Mancini T. 23. Marinari J. 18. Morachioli G. 53. Pittino T. 1. Tani F. (G)
Coaches
Campedelli N.	Lucarelli C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Malotti M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Regazzetti S. 🟨,
58', Munaretti L. 🟨,
63', Menarini F. ↓, Arrigoni T. ↑,
64', Bacciardi A. ↓, Pittino T. ↑,
64', Regazzetti S. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
66', Munaretti L. ↓, Mattioli G. ↑,
75', Perretta G. ↓, Gabellini T. ↑,
77', Malotti M. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
80', Rosetti M. ↓, Scaccabarozzi J. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Petrelli E. ⚽,
84', Mawete J. C. ↓, Gentile D. ↑,
87', Bonassi L. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Forlì may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Forlì has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Forlì against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Livorno	10	4	4	2	15:14	1	16
15	Forli	10	2	5	3	16:16	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Vado - Forlì	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Ostia Mare - Forlì	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Forlì - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Pineto - Forlì	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTTW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Livorno - Pescara	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Livorno - Pianese	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Livorno - Vado	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Spezia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Forlì - Livorno	1:1
02.11.25	Livorno - Forlì	2:3

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