Match Info

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday


	Sambenedettese		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.40
	2.72	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.71	3.04	2.68
	2.65	3.15	2.55	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.55
	2.51	3.14	2.47
	2.7	3.2	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.54)	3.11 ↓ (3.23)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
34.4%

Draw
29.2%

Livorno
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

28%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Livorno have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Sambenedettese - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 18th in the Serie C - Play Out and 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Sambenedettese may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sambenedettese has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sambenedettese against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Livorno	10	4	4	2	15:14	1	16
18	Sambenedettese	10	1	4	5	14:17	-3	7

Last Results with these Odds

Sambenedettese - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
17.10.26	Vado - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Sambenedettese - Latina	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Grosseto - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWLT
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
16.10.26	Livorno - Grosseto	4:4 ✺
11.10.26	Forlì - Livorno	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Livorno - Pescara	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Livorno - Pianese	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
28.02.26	Sambenedettese - Livorno	0:0
18.10.25	Livorno - Sambenedettese	2:1

Sambenedettese - Livorno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide