Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Forlì		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.30	3.25	2.60
	2.45	3.25	2.62
	2.36	3.48	2.75
	2.38	3.33	2.72	Watch
	2.3	3.35	2.65
	2.31	3.16	2.68
	2.44	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.49)	3.3 ↑ (3.19)	2.66 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
38.4%

Draw
27.5%

Livorno
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

28.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Forlì - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Livorno could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Forlì has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Forlì against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14
11	Forli	8	2	4	2	13:12	1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Forlì - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Vado - Forlì	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Ostia Mare - Forlì	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Forlì - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Pineto - Forlì	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTTW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Livorno - Pescara	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Livorno - Pianese	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Livorno - Vado	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Spezia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Forlì - Livorno	1:1
02.11.25	Livorno - Forlì	2:3

Forlì - Livorno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide