Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Tullo Morgagni (Forli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Forlì		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	3.1	3.2
	2.2	3.05	3.59
	2.13	3.18	3.31	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.2	2.98	3.21	Watch
	2.16	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.33)	3.02 ↓ (3.38)	3.32 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forlì
42%

Draw
30.3%

Carpi
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.2%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Forlì - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Martelli L. (G) 27. Manetti G. 25. Elia M. 4. Saporetti L. 24. Cavallini G. 30. Coveri V. 3. Menarini F. 23. De Risio C. 10. Macri D. 7. Petrelli E. 11. Farinelli N.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 17. Lombardi L. 19. Rossini M. 16. Tcheuna R. 5. Figoli M. 29. Rosetti M. 7. Cecotti T. 11. Casarini F. 72. Cortesi M. (C) 9. Gerbi E.
Substitutes
1. Calvani S. (G) 6. Franzolini A. 18. Giovannini A. 29. Graziani G. 2. Mandrelli N. 9. Manuzzi F. 17. Monaco C. 33. Saporetti S. 21. Scorza C. 14. Spinelli A. 16. Valentini F. 12. Veliaj G. (G)	70. Arcopinto A. 20. Forte R. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 23. Sall A. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Macri D. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Figoli M. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Manetti G. ⚽,
33', Elia M. 🟨,
43', Rossini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', De Risio C. 🟨,
64', 3 - 1, Menarini F. ⚽,
65', Zagnoni D. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
65', Tcheuna R. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
67', 4 - 1, Farinelli N. ⚽,
77', De Risio C. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
77', Rosetti M. ↓, Arcopinto A. ↑,
77', Gerbi E. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
80', Farinelli N. 🟨,
83', 4 - 2, Forte R. ⚽,
85', Manetti G. ↓, Spinelli A. ↑,
85', Petrelli E. ↓, Mandrelli N. ↑,
89', Rossini M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
90+1', Farinelli N. ↓, Scorza C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Forlì is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Carpi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Forlì might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
08.12.25	Ascoli - Forlì	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Forlì - Bra	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pianese - Forlì	3:2 ✺
14.11.25	Forlì - Campobasso	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Juventus U23 - Forlì	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
08.12.25	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Pontedera - Carpi	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Carpi - Rimini	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Pineto - Carpi	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Carpi - Livorno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWWLW

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